이란 전쟁의 시작은 이스라엘측 오판의 연속이었지

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애초에 이스라엘은 이란 지도부만 제거하면 이란 국민들이 들고 일어나 시리아처럼 된다는 망상을 갖고 있었지.

이스라엘이 2023년부터 SNS등을 통해 벌여온 반정부 선동질이 먹혀들어 정권이 전복되기 직전이라고 믿었으니까.

https://citizenlab.ca/research/2025-10-ai-enabled-io-aimed-at-overthrowing-iranian-regime/

We Say You Want a Revolution: PRISONBREAK – An AI-Enabled Influence Operation Aimed at Overthrowing the Iranian Regime - The Citizen Lab

The control and strategic manipulation of information has long played a role in the geopolitical and ideological competition between the Islamic Republic of Iran and its political adversaries, including Israel. Prior Citizen Lab research has uncovered Iranian disinformation efforts, however, in this investigation we focus on the “other side” of the geopolitical competition. We analyzed an influence operation we assess as most likely undertaken by an entity of the Israeli government or a private subcontractor working closely with it.

Israel reportedly funded campaign to restore Tehran's monarchy
A network of fake Israeli accounts disseminated pro-Reza Pahlavi content at the onset of its 12-day war against Iran in June.
8 October 2025 22:13

https://today.lorientlejour.com/article/1480264/israel-reportedly-funded-an-influence-campaign-to-install-the-shah-of-irans-son-in-tehran.html

그리고 미국에서 빌빌대는 팔레비 왕자를 이란에 보내 집권시킨다는 계획까지 세웠는데...

After backing Israel, Iran’s self-styled crown prince loses support

Critics argue Reza Pahlavi’s monarchical ambitions and ties to Israel undermine his claims of advocating for democracy.

3 Jul 2025

Pahlavi insisted that Iran’s Islamic Republic was collapsing. “This is our Berlin Wall moment,” he said, calling for ordinary Iranians to seize the opportunity afforded by Israel’s war and take to the streets, and for defections from the military and security forces.
But the mass protests Pahlavi encouraged never materialised.

Instead, many Iranians – including those opposed to the government – rallied around the flag in a moment of attack by a foreign force. It appears that Pahlavi, who said in his Paris speech that he was ready to replace Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and lead Iranians down a “road of peace and democratic transition”, had misread the room.

https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2025/7/3/son-of-former-shah-loses-credibility-after-justifying-israels-war-on-iran

팔레비 병신새끼가 자살골을 넣어버림.

2025년 6월 13일 이스라엘의 기습으로 시작된 '12일 전쟁' 으로 알려진 교전에서 팔레비가 이란인들을 향해 "이스라엘이 밀어줄 때 이란 정권을 전복하라" 라는 머저리같은 메시지를 냈거든.

이게 이스라엘의 무차별 기습공격에 희생당하고 빡친 이란인에겐 오히려 역효과를 불러일으켰고 팔레비는 결국 찌그러졌지.

팔레비 카드가 망하니까 대안으로 선택한게 이란 지도부 몰살작전이었음.

지도부가 사라지면 이란 국민들이 들고 일어나 정권을 뒤집어 엎을줄만 알았지. 스스로 만든 거짓선동에 스스로 속아넘어간 꼴이랄까?

물론 결과는 오히려 이란인들이 단결해 맞서 싸우는 중이고, 오히려 이스라엘-미국이 국제사회의 비난을 받는 상황이 되자 해외로 도피해 이란을 해방시켜달라고 선동하던 이란년들은 아닥하고 지끄러진 상황임. 

트럼프가 말한 48시간이 다 되어가네.

과연 뭘 할 수 있을까?